Soccer Odds - Spain La Liga Week 23 Fixtures Featuring Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Madrid

  • Wednesday, February 11th, 2015

    By  Ej Garr


    Soccer Betting: Now that the top three clubs are only separated by 4 points, Real Madrid, Barcelona and Atletico Madrid buckle up for a long ride that will decide the La Liga trophy winner come the end of the campaign.

    Three clubs near the top of the table, Valencia, Sevilla and Villarreal, are also starting to separate themselves from the rest of the pack, who are seeking European qualification spots for the 2015-16 season.The weekend kicks offon Friday with a match at Juegos Mediterráneos featuring Almeria hosting Real Sociedad.

    Only nine points separate 8th - 20th place in the Primera table, so each match from here on out holds valuable points that may end up deciding who gets sent down to Segunda Division and who can sneak into the European discussion from back in the pack.

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    Our featured match comes out of the 4 matcheson Saturday, with Real Madrid looking to rebound from a 4 - 0 humiliation in the Madrid derby to Atletico Madrid. The league leaders host Deportivo at El Bernabéu, where the visitors have not won since 2004. We highlight this match since we find ourselves with a very lopsided schedule for round 23 on the Spanish pitch.

    We have 4 more matcheson Sunday, and we finish the roundMondayafternoon at Ipurua, with Elche traveling to the north coast to take on Eibar, so let's get to it, and see what we can expect this weekend in La Liga.

    Friday, February 13- 1 Match

    Real Sociedad vs Almeria

    3-Way: 1: Sociedad +175 Away ; X: +225 Draw ; 2: Almeria +175 Home

    Spread: Sociedad Pk -110 ; Almeria Pk -110

    Total 2.5: Over +135 ; Under -155

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Almeria looks for their first 3-match win streak of the La Liga campaign when they take on Sociedad at Juegos Mediterráneos. They took the front leg between these two in a 2 - 1 win back in September on the road at Anoeta, and have never lost at home in 3 meetings with the Royal Blues.

    Sociedad comes into this match on a down note, after leading for almost all of the match with Celta De Vigo over the weekend. At this point, they can't afford to give away valuable home points, but they had to settle for a draw after giving up the tying goal with only 5 minutes left in regulation time. Keep in mind, Sociedad is the only club left to have not won an away match this year, but they are 0 - 5 - 5, so it has not been a complete disaster.

    We are of the mindset that until you win away from home, you do not deserve a play with our hard earned money, so let's see if Almeria can put together that 3-match win streak, but install the safety net of the Pk Draw no Bet at -110. If the draw comes, it won't hurt a bit.

    Saturday, February 14- 4 Matches

    Featured Match Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Madrid

    3-Way 1x2 Lines:

    Deportivo +2250

    Real Madrid -1050

    Draw +1050


    Deportivo +2.5 +115

    Madrid -2.5 -135

    Total 4:

    Over +100

    Under -120

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Well, the question will be, how does this first place club respond after the drubbing they took in the derby? Real was without Marcelo and Ramos on the back line, and it certainly was where Atletico found weakness. We also know that James Rodriguez will now be out for a long spell, as well as Sami Khedira, who will be on the shelf at least for the rest of February.

    When you have Ronaldo, Benzema and Bale up front, no one is going to hand you a tissue and hear you cry about your injury woes, but they are certainly adding up. Pepe is still questionable, and Ramos has not been declared fit as of yet either.

    Even though Deportivo has not played impressive competition lately, they are at least getting results and, naturally, they have been given the formula to keep Madrid frustrated. Why would Deportivo let Madrid run amuck on them for 90 minutes, and not keep the first half as close to 0 - 0 as they could? Holding down a club with 70 goals is no easy task, but we have seen it can be done, and the longer you keep the big 3 frustrated up front, the better your chances are to stay in the match.

    We are taking the +2.5 on La Coruna to hang around long enough and not lose by 3 or more goals, and the +115 is feasible as well.

    Cordoba vs Sevilla

    3-Way: 1: Cordoba +800 Away ; X: +410 Draw ; 2: Sevilla -275 Home

    Spread: Cordoba +1.5 -125 ; Sevilla -1.5 +105

    Total 2.5: Over -125 ; Under +105

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    There is only one club left in La Liga to have not lost a home match, and Sevilla is that club.This is actually a dangerous spot for Sevilla, and if they overlook what is in front of them with Cordoba, that streak could be jeopardy.

    It’s ironic that you can't spell the word sieve without the letters from Sevilla, because they have not been able to stop anyone lately. We brought that up recently, as we discussed how sound a defense they had early in the campaign, and now that is simply not the case. Even if they do manage to keep the home streak intact, a 2 - 1 match here can get us paid two ways. We hope that Cordoba simply does not lay down, because a 4-match losing streak at this point would pretty much set off alarms around town that this club might not be in top flight next year.

    We are playing the +1.5 on Cordoba at -125, and the Over 2.5 at the same -125.

    Athletic Bilbao vs Granada

    3-Way: 1: Bilbao +165 Away ; X: +215 Draw ; 2: Granada +190 Home

    Spread: Bilbao Pk -120 ; Granada Pk +100

    Total 2: Over -115 ; Under -105

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Being embarrassed by Barcelona is not the worst thing Bilbao has dealt with this year, because everyone seems to be unable to figure out what Barcelona is doing lately. Bilbao has been the hardest club to figure out all year, with every competition they are competing in. They have been terrible in league play, but are still alive in the Copa Del Ray, and are about to start Europa League group stage.

    To put it in perspective, Granada is at the bottom of the table, and Bilbao is only 5 points up on them.

    We are suggesting this Over 2 at a reasonable -115. With all the traveling Bilbao has to do, after hosting the first leg of their Copa Del Ray match with Espanyol during the week then having to travel south to Granada on short rest, we should see a 1 - 1 match at worst.

    Espanyol vs Malaga

    3-Way: 1: Espanyol +310 Away ; X: +235 Draw ; 2: Malaga +100 Home

    Spread: Espanyol +0.5 -120 ; Malaga -0.5 +100

    Total 2.5: Over +125 ; Under -145

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Espanyol has the most traveling to do this week out of all the clubs in the league. They have to go up to Bilbao, then all the way down to Malaga in three days’ time.

    Malaga certainly did not look like a club trying to stay in the European conversation after a 4 - 1 debacle against Levante this past weekend.

    Why wouldn't these two have an all-out carnival of scoring against each other today? We think they can find the three goals needed to catch the line setters sleeping on the Over 2.5 at a lovely +125.

    Sunday, February 15- 4 Matches

    Getafe vs Valencia

    3-Way: 1: Getafe +685 Away ; X: +355 Draw ; 2: Valencia -225 Home

    Spread: Getafe +1 +115 ; Valencia -1 -135

    Total 2.5: Over -110 ; Under -110

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Normally we don't like to suggest an Over when we see the Both to Score prop pointing to no, as it is here at Valencia. The 'No' side of the prop sits at -140 at most European books, but we do not agree with them in the least.

    We know Valencia is a strong home side, with the 9 - 1 - 1 record at Mestalla, but Getafe should be able to have mild success finding the net.

    Getafe is coming off a nice win against Sevilla over the weekend, even though that match was relatively slow and uneventful for the most part. We are going to see if our hunch is correct, and see if we can't sneak in this Over 2.5 at a casual -110.

    Levante vs Barcelona

    3-Way: 1: Levante +2850 Away ; X: +1550 Draw ; 2: Barcelona -1750 Home

    Spread: Levante +3.5 -135 ; Barcelona -3.5 +115

    Total 4.5: Over +110 ; Under -130

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Of course this is a lopsided match, and the line setters are making us choose one way or the other about a 4 - 0 result.Barca is -3.5 on the handicap, but the Under 4.5 is -130, so they are almost telling us that they can see 4 - 0, but we have to decide if we see it with them.

    We know Barca also has a mid-week Copa Del Ray match at Camp Nou with Villarrealon Wednesday, so we should some resting done here by at least one of the big names up front. Hard to imagine Messi or Neymar sitting, and we can surely expect Luis Suarez to be on the pitch for this match, so will manager Luis Enrique choose to rest a big name for a match they should easily win on paper? That’s the question.

    The choice is the Over 4.5 here at +110, simply because Barcelona has scored 14 goals on Levante in 3 matches this year, from the Cup and first meeting in Levante earlier in the campaign. When you have someone's number, it doesn't matter who you put on the pitch, and we know that even with wanting to give big players some rest, that is secondary to getting 3 points right now.

    Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano

    3-Way: 1: Villarreal +120 Away ; X: +245 Draw ; 2: Vallecano +235 Home

    Spread: Villarreal Pk -170 ; Vallecano Pk +145

    Total 2.5: Over -115 ; Under -105

    Analysis and Prediction:

    We don't care what Villarreal is dealing with in the Copa Del Ray, and we will not know the result of their match at Barcelona before submitting the preview, so please take that into account.

    We are taking Villarreal here at +120 to find all three points, because Vallecano is becoming that club that finds more ways to lose than get results. They have been held scoreless by Cordoba and Elche, while losing 4 of their last 5 matches, and have not beaten Villarreal since 2000.

    Atletico Madrid vs Celta De Vigo

    3-Way: 1: Atl Madrid +105 Away ; X: +230 Draw ; 2: Vigo +300 Home

    Spread: Atl Madrid -0.5 +105 ; Vigo +0.5 -125

    Total 2: Over -125 ; Under +105

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    This is a strange line for a club who is coming off such a sound beat down of Real Madrid the last time out. We get the whole 'getting up again to take on a lesser club' might not appeal to them, but Atletico is clicking on every cylinder possible right now. We heard that Diego Simeone is not going to leave the club at the end of the year for England as it was being reported as a possibility, but that also helps us to remember to not believe everything you read, especially with English media always looking to create a conversation they don't have any support in creating. Infamous English media -- good luck with them!

    We are taking Atletico to keep their head on straight, know the task at hand, and get 3 huge points, so the +105 on the away side to win sounds about right.

    Monday, February 16- 1 Match

    Elche vs Eibar

    3-Way: 1: Elche +280 Away ; X: +210 Draw ; 2: Eibar +110 Home

    Spread: Elche +0.5 -130 ; Eibar -0.5 +110

    Total 2: Over -110 ; Under -110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Does that say 2? When these two met the first time, Eibar got off to a decent start fresh up from Segunda Division. Currently, they are not even remotely playing like and Elche needs to go out and do something other than let 3 more points go by. If you take out the 11 - 0 combined score in the two losses to Barcelona in the Cup, this team is not as bad as they may look in the table. Elche will score, and Eibar should be able to respond with one of their own, so even if we do expect a 1 - 1 score, that 2 on the Over at -110 might just see a third we need to cash the ticket outright. Let’s hope it happens and they don't settle for a point each from a draw.

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