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Soccer Odds - Spain La Liga Week 22 Fixtures Featuring Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid

  • Thursday, February 5th, 2015

    By  Ej Garr

    2015-Real-Madrid-vs-Atletico-Madrid-Betting-Lines

    Soccer Betting: Round 22 in La Liga kicks offon Friday, but the match of the weekend certainly comeson Saturdayin the nation's capital as Atletico and Real play the Madrid derby at Vicente Calderón Stadium. Since the first Madrid derby in the 1928-29 campaign, these two have faced off nearly every year since, with the exception of the few years that Atletico was relegated to second tier Segunda División, and during the Spanish Civil War in the 1930s.

    Seven points now separate the two clubs at the top of the table, after the 3 points Real took from Sevillaon Wednesday, but with the recent success of Atletico over Real in the Copa Del Ray, the fans will be amped to the gills in support of the home side.

    The return of Ronaldo from suspension comes just in time for Real Madrid as well, and maybe this is why he only got a 2-game ban instead of the common 3-game ban that usually comes with the offense he committed two weeks back.

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    We have four days of football on the Spanish pitch, spanningFridaytoMonday, so let's cut to the chase and see what the rest of the league has in store for us this weekend.

    Friday, February 6- 1 Match

    Eibar vs Deportivo La Coruna

    3-Way: 1: Eibar +295 Away ; X: +220 Draw ; 2: La Coruna +110 Home

    Spread: Eibar +0.5 -130 ; La Coruna -0.5 +110

    Total 2: Over -110 ; Under -110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    These two clubs first became familiar with each other last year in Segunda Division, and now face off for the second time this campaign.

    To get the weekend started, we are simply going to turn to the Over 2 at a reasonable -110.These two may have given up 63 goals between them this year, but the European line setters have a -160 or so on the 'No' side of the Both to Score prop, which is odd since we actually do expect them both to score. By the way, that line moved as it was much closer to -120on Monday, and now it has gone in an entirely different direction.

    We will just take this Over 2, expecting, at worst, the two goals we need to push the action.

    Saturday, February 7- 4 Matches

    Featured Match Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid

    3-Way 1x2 Lines:

    Real Madrid +130

    Atl Madrid +215

    Draw +245

    Spread:

    Real Madrid Pk -145

    Atl Madrid Pk +125

    Total 2.5:

    Over -105

    Under -115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    We know Ronaldo will return, but it looks like Sergio Ramos will not be able to recover in time to partake in this weekend's derby on the Real back line. Joining Ramos on the bench will be Marcelo, who took a yellow at the hour mark in the Sevilla match which cost him an appearance in the derby. As a result, Manager Ancelotti who needs to find two major replacements on the back line, might ask Pepe to come back a little sooner than he had hoped from his rib injury.

    No one knew what effect bringing in prodigal son Fernando Torres would have for Atletico, and he is certainly comfortable in his role again. We know defensively that Atletico is sound enough to keep them in just about any match they play.

    The losses on the back line for Real will undoubtedly help with Atletico’s plan of attack, not to mention that losing Marcelo also means that his offensive threat is gone as well. Suffice it to say that the big 3 of Benzema, Bale and Ronaldo should be able to make up for it.

    We are taking this Over 2.5 this weekend. The -105 is nothing to ask for a 2 - 1 type match, and it can certainly get out of control with fouls and set pieces. Both clubs should be offensive-minded, and again we mention the Both to Score prop sitting at -145 or so at most sites that offer it.

    Show us goals and show us the money!

    Granada vs Villarreal

    3-Way: 1: Granada +925 Away ; X: +415 Draw ; 2: Villarreal -300 Home

    Spread: Granada +1.5 -120 ; Villarreal -1.5 +100

    Total 2.5: Over -125 ; Under +105

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Two clubs needing three points for entirely different reasons face off at Estadio El Madrigal, and Villarreal can certainly not afford to let a club in a relegation battle take any points from them at home.

    Granada still has only 3 wins to show for the campaign, but at least they are finding some results lately, coming off a 1 - 0 win over the weekend. They still can only seem to find points against clubs around them at the bottom of the table, and we cannot invest in them away from home with Villarreal coming off a 3 - 2 loss to Barcelona last weekend.

    The lines are not very user friendly, as -300 is way out of range for a Villa win here, and even the -1.5 doesn't exactly scream 'play me' either. So, we will again turn to the total and expect a nice fight from Granada here. Even if they do lose 2 - 1, it shows us that they went out and played their guts out trying to get some type of result. The Over 2.5 goes on the board here at a marginal -125.

    Celta de Vigo vs Real Sociedad

    3-Way: 1: Vigo +190 Away ; X: +225 Draw ; 2: Sociedad +155 Home

    Spread: Vigo Pk +105 ; Sociedad Pk -125

    Total 2.5: Over +115 ; Under -135

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Sociedad will be without Vela this weekend, which basically takes away their best chance up front.

    Just because Vigo found a win last weekend, it certainly does not change our attitude about them, which we have discussed week after week here at Diamond.

    Draws are tough to call, because as soon as someone scores it puts a whole lot of pressure on the other side to get back in the match, but then we see them both settle for the point. The Under 2.5 at -135 is just out of our comfort range as far as juice goes, but we do expect a low-scoring draw here, so the +225 on the said draw might be the best way to go. Hopefully no one scores, and we don't need to hope someone finds an equalizer.

    Malaga vs Levante

    3-Way: 1: Malaga +135 Away ; X: +215 Draw ; 2: Levante +235 Home

    Spread: Malaga Pk -160 ; Levante Pk +135

    Total 2: Over -115 ; Under -105

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Malaga found a nice win last weekend over Valencia, and now they get to follow it up with a match vs bottom feeder Levante.

    Levante has gone four straight matches without finding the net, and have only found 13 goals the entire campaign.Malaga needs to keep pace with the clubs above them in the European qualification spots. It has to be the only thing on their minds. Taking 3 points here will certainly keep them close enough to Villarreal and Valencia who are right above them in the table.

    The +135 on the away side here will have to do, because no one is about to invest in Levante.

    Sunday, February 8- 4 Matches

    Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao

    3-Way: 1: Barcelona -275 Away ; X: +425 Draw ; 2: Bilbao +755 Home

    Spread: Barcelona -1.5 +100 ; Bilbao +1.5 -120

    Total 3: Over +100 ; Under -120

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Please raise your hand if you realistically think Bilbao is going to be able to slow down Barca right now. Ok, so those few people who still have their hand up you can now put it down, and place your bet on Barcelona and the handicap -1.5 at even money. Seriously, it will be an 3 easy points, and will not be a one goal game.

    No further analysis needed, because over-thinking this play would be a waste of our time and yours.

    Sevilla vs Getafe

    3-Way: 1: Sevilla +105 Away ; X: +240 Draw ; 2: Getafe +285 Home

    Spread: Sevilla -0.5 +105 ; Getafe +0.5 -125

    Total 2: Over -145 ; Under +125

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Most likely, Sevilla will be without GK Beto, after he suffered an apparent concussion from the collision with Benzema in the box vs Madrid during the mid-week make up match.

    How many chances did Sevilla miss in the Madrid match? There were four, maybe five opportunities that any good club would surely been able to convert.We are still wondering how the change in Sevilla happened. If you remember not too long ago, we were taking Sevilla Unders time and time again and now there is no way we can take a Sevilla Under.

    Move the line to the Over 2 and 2.5 handicap so the juice is barely a factor at -105 or so.

    Almeria vs Cordoba

    3-Way: 1: Almeria +230 Away ; X: +210 Draw ; 2: Cordoba +140 Home

    Spread: Almeria Pk +130 ; Cordoba Pk -150

    Total 2: Over -110 ; Under -110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    This is the eighth time that these two will be facing off in the last 4 years, with both clubs being in Segunda Division together until this year. Both teams have scored in all but one of those matches, and there is no reason to think that will change today. Naturally, that will point us right to the total of 2, and for those in Europe who see the +125 on the Both to Score prop, why wouldn't you take advantage of that line?

    We see 1 - 1 easily obtainable here, so we will recommend that Over 2 hoping someone can come through for us with a match winner at some point to make it 2 - 1. They both desperately need 3 points, and cannot afford a draw here to boot.

    Valencia vs Espanyol

    3-Way: 1: Valencia +165 Away ; X: +225 Draw ; 2: Espanyol +180 Home

    Spread: Valencia Pk -115 ; Espanyol Pk -105

    Total 2: Over -140 ; Under +120

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    How does Valencia rebound from the loss to Malaga over the weekend? But before we answer that, notice that Espanyol has only lost two matches at home this year. Let's not forget the last time these two took the pitch at Estadi Cornellà-El Prat in the Copa Del Ray back in January, and Espanyol came out with a victory.

    The home side in this series has gotten a result in 11 straight matches, and we will hope it happens again here. However, we will settle for the -105 on the Espanyol Pk, with a reasonable line on the safety net that comes with a Draw no Bet situation.

    Monday, February 9- 1 Match

    Vallecano vs Elche

    3-Way: 1: Vallecano +170 Away ; X: +225 Draw ; 2: Elche +175 Home

    Spread: Vallecano Pk -110 ; Elche Pk -110

    Total 2.5: Over +125 ; Under -145

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Does the number 80 mean anything to you? How about let's tally up how many goals these two have allowed this year, and Pow! There is your magic number 80. Goodness, if you say defense, and put Vallecano or Elche in the sentence with it, feel free to start taking up knitting or crocheting. Now throw in that the line setters are offering +125 to see a 2 - 1 match here, and you have now graduated. We will expect an ugly Christmas sweater from all you have learned using your needles.

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