Soccer Odds - Spain La Liga Week 19 Fixtures Featuring Malaga vs Sevilla

  • Wednesday, January 14th, 2015

    By  Ej Garr


    Soccer Betting: We are now at the halfway point of the campaign, as round 19 will complete the first set of meetings for all clubs. We will then turn around, switch venues, and each team will play each other again. Real Madrid has set the pace with 42 points atop the Primera League table, but has a match in hand from the PPD round 16 meeting with Sevilla that will be made up onFebruary 4.

    Barcelona sits just a point back of Madrid, and both clubs are strongly favored for their matches this weekend. The battle for Champions and Europa League spots for next year is where we find 6 clubs within 12 points of each other.

    Our featured match of the weekend comes at Sevilla, with Malaga traveling to Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Stadium, in a contest with two clubs fighting for those available spots in Europe. The transfer window is still wide open, and clubs will be looking to improve their standing on a daily basis, so let's see what is happening, and also see if we can find some action to be made.

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    Friday, January 16- 1 Match

    Eibar vs Cordoba

    3-Way: 1: Eibar +200 Away ; X: +200 Draw ; 2: Cordoba +170 Home

    Spread: Eibar Pk +100 ; Cordoba Pk -120

    Total 2: Over +105 ; Under -125

    Analysis and Prediction:

    With 26 points, Eibar appears to be the last club left in the fight for those European spots we mentioned, and they are starting to pull away from the rest of the pack. They sit in 8th place in the table, while Cordoba still has a bit of work to do to stay out of the relegation discussion.

    With two wins and not a goal allowed, Cordoba has done a great job on the defensive side of the ball since 2015 started. They needed to find a way to fix it after surrendering 27 goals through the first 16 matches of the campaign. However, that makes this a tough match to predict. Each club needs these three points -- Eibar to stay in the chase and Cordoba to get out of the danger zone.

    We will take this Over 2, simply because it is only 2 and -115, and both clubs cannot afford to draw at this point. Eibar can score, and Cordoba will not have three straight clean sheets. As impressive as it may be, shutting out Vallecano and Granada is not exactly hard to do.

    Saturday, January 17- 4 Matches

    Almeria vs Valencia

    3-Way: 1: Almeria +1000 Away ; X: +440 Draw ; 2: Valencia -325 Home

    Spread: Almeria +1.5 -105 ; Valencia -1.5 -115

    Total 2.5: Over -150 ; Under +130

    Analysis and Prediction:

    This is another scenario of a club facing relegation, playing against a club that is hoping to stay in European contention.

    Almeria looked to be on track, but Sevilla put them back in their place over the weekend, and now Almeria has to try and rebound to face another club that’s far above them in the table.

    Valencia played a Copa match on the 13th, and looked terrible in a 2 - 0 loss to Espanyol, so they need to pick themselves up off the mat, and regroup quickly too. Valencia has not done the best job of keeping teams down as of late, and they are rarely winning matches by 2 or more goals at this point of the campaign. If Almeria can grab an early goal here, we would be in great shape if we were to take the +1.5 handicap at -105, so we will hope that is where we can find some action.

    Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal

    3-Way: 1: Ath Bilbao +485 Away ; X: +270 Draw ; 2: Villarreal -150 Home

    Spread: Bilbao +0.5 +130 ; Villarreal -0.5 -150

    Total 2.5: Over +115 ; Under -135

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Every year, in pretty much every league around the world, there seems to be a club who finds more ways to lose, and cannot seem to put anything together to get out of that funk. Well, if you actually break down the recent performance of every club in La Liga, no one is playing worse than Bilbao.

    Hence, why we see -150 on the home side here, which is not exactly outrageous, but is also not exactly worth putting action on.We will look to the -0.5 and -1 handicap on Villarreal instead of laying such a thick price of -150, and getting -115 or so on our money.

    Celta De Vigo vs Espanyol

    3-Way: 1: Vigo +175 Away ; X: +235 Draw ; 2: Espanyol +165 Home

    Spread: Vigo Pk -105 ; Espanyol Pk -115

    Total 2.5: Over +110 ; Under -130

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Celta Vigo and Espanyol are the best of the worst we have in La Liga. They both sit one point apart in the table, but only have 21 and 20 points respectively. However, it is good enough for the 9 and 10 spot. The worst clubs in the league, Elche and Granada, have 14 points, so we are only talking 7 points from 9th to worst.

    Espanyol had a nice showing in the Copa matchon Tuesday, so hopefully they can follow it up with any type of result against a club in Vigo who is simply not worth investing a single nickel on. We can have this Pk handicap Draw no Bet on the home side at -115, so that is exactly where we will turn for some action.

    Vallecano vs Real Sociedad

    3-Way: 1: Vallecano +330 Away ; X: +260 Draw ; 2: Sociedad -115 Home

    Spread: Vallecano +0.5 -105 ; Sociedad -0.5 -115

    Total 2.5: Over -105 ; Under -115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    This is another battle of two clubs sitting a point apart in the table, who have not been exactly strong to say the least.

    At least Real Sociedad is getting results of some sort over the last month of the campaign, with wins or draws in the last 4, while Vallecano has lost 4 of their last 5. We certainly find it amazing that Sociedad could beat Barcelona, and then they take on Granada and could do nothing. It's things like that that make us shake our head wondering which damn club they feel like being today.

    Vallecano needs to show up, and we will expect them to get an away result of some sort, so we will turn to the +0.5 on Vallecano at -105.

    Sunday, January 18- 5 Matches

    Featured Match Malaga vs Sevilla

    3-Way 1x2 Lines:

    Malaga +425

    Sevilla -145

    Draw +280


    Malaga +0.5 +125

    Sevilla -0.5 -145

    Total 2.5:

    Over -115

    Under -105

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Both of these clubs made our featured match this weekend, simply due to the fact that it is the only matchup of two clubs battling for European spots next year.

    Sevilla is the only club left in the league to have not suffered a home defeat this campaign, and the line setters seem to be predicting that 1st loss will not be coming today, with a -145 set.

    Malaga is not the worst club when it comes to finding results away from home, and this match has a low-scoring draw type feel to it. Sevilla is defensively sound, and this Under of 2.5 at -105 surely has some value. We can expect a quiet first half, and hopefully it does not open up as the second half begins. The Under 2.5 is the play we are recommending.

    Granada vs Atletico Madrid

    3-Way: 1: Granada +1750 Away ; X: +550 Draw ; 2: Atl Madrid -500 Home

    Spread: Granada +2 -125 ; Atl Madrid -2 -105

    Total 2.5: Over -135 ; Under +115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Granada has struggled away from home all year, with one win in 9 matches and only 6 goals scored to 19 given up. Atletico seems to be involved with so many high-scoring matches of late, and have revamped their line up a bit in hopes of staying with Barcelona and Madrid at the top of the table.

    There is really only one option here, because we expect Granada to struggle tremendously trying to break down the back line of Madrid. The -2 handicap at -105 on the home side here is the most viable option we have to look for some action.

    Levante vs Elche

    3-Way: 1: Levante +270 Away ; X: +215 Draw ; 2: Elche +120 Home

    Spread: Levante +0.5 -140 ; Elche -0.5 +120

    Total 2: Over -110 ; Under -110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Yuck! This match sees two clubs with 3 wins each and who will most likely be battling to stay in top flight the rest of the way.

    Neither club is scoring enough, nor are they defensively sound enough to find results week after week.

    We cannot expect to make a side bet here, not trusting either of them to go out and get three points, even though if we did make that call we would get a decent price of +120 or +270 for our troubles. We are taking this 2 to go Over, simply because Elche is at least playing better lately, and should be able find a result at home by scoring two goals in a 2 - 1 type win.

    Real Madrid vs Getafe

    3-Way: 1: Madrid -400 Away ; X: +550 Draw ; 2: Getafe +1050 Home

    Spread: Madrid -1.5 -140 ; Getafe +1.5 +125

    Total 3: Over -135; Under +115

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    It seems that Madrid is just coasting to results week after week. It is almost as if they are waiting for someone to play with them before they decide to break out and pour on the offense. We are seeing it time and again that they have no issue with playing slow, playing possession football and creating a chance whenever they are simply bored enough from passing. It is tough to find action on a Madrid match right now, because they are not firing on all cylinders like they were to start the campaign. Even after the 2 - 1 loss two weeks ago, they again looked bored in a 3 - 0 win last weekend over Espanyol.

    The only real option here is to move the Madrid handicap to -1.5 and -2 to get a reasonable price closer to -105 or -110, because -140 on the -1.5 is just too pricey and not even worth our time.

    Barcelona vs La Coruna

    3-Way: 1: Barcelona -525 Away ; X:+625 Draw ; 2: La Coruna +1500 Home

    Spread: Barcelona -2 -115 ; La Coruna +2 -105

    Total 3: Over -130 ; Under +110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    We all know that La Coruna is not going to score at all, home or not. They cannot score against clubs at the bottom of the table, much less find the net against class clubs in the league.

    Barcelona has only given up 5 away goals this year, but have also not seemed to want to press the pedal lately, with low-scoring matches the last few times out. If all we need is a 2 - 0 result to, at worst, push the -2 on Barcelona here, than that is the only real option we have to throw some action around.

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