Week 25 Bayern Munich vs Werder Bremen

  • Thursday, March 12th, 2015

    By  Ej Garr


    Soccer Betting: Bayern Munich handed Schalke a demolishing 7 - 0 defeat at home in Champions LeagueWednesday evening, and now they travel Northwest to Weserstadion to take on Werder Bremen in our featured match of the weekend.

    When Bayern came out of the winter break gate slow, everyone questioned if they were ready for the second half of the campaign and if Europe's biggest club competition would be too much for them as well. So much for those questions, because Bayern is on their way to the triple crown if they can keep it all together. Champions League, Bundesliga and the German Cup will all see this German powerhouse club scoring like it was free of charge -- just simply pass the toll and wave goodbye.

    Before we get to our featured match, the weekend beginson Friday, with Leverkusen hosting Stuttgart. It’s two clubs needing 3 points for entirely different reasons. Leverkusen is trying to keep pace with the top of the table, while Stuttgart is looking to get out of the Bundesliga basement.

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    Along with our aforementioned featured match, there are five other matches that will impact the table. One of them is Schalke visiting Berlin, with the Blues coming off a 4 - 3 win in Madrid, a win that simply earned them a trip home out of Champions League. By the way, just to be sure, we do hope you enjoyed that +2 handicap on Schalke we offered, since they won outright.

    We close out Round 25on Sunday, with two matches that see both Wolfsburg and Moenchengladbach taking the pitch in separate matches, with the 2 and 3 spot in the table in hand.

    So what will go down this weekend? That is what we will try to decipher, so let's get to the pitch!

    Friday, March 13- 1 Match

    Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen

    3-Way: 1: Stuttgart +580 Away ; X: +350 Draw ; 2: Leverkusen -200 Home

    Spread: Stuttgart +1 +105 ; Leverkusen -1 -125

    Total 2.5: Over -125 ; Under +105

    Analysis and Prediction:

    It’s Friday the 13th and, unless Leverkusen breaks about seven mirrors on the bus ride to the stadium, Stuttgart will be in a world of trouble here. Superstition aside, in their quest to maintain European positions in the table, Leverkusen should have no issue with a club at the bottom of the table. The -200 is certainly out of range, but since we expect Leverkusen to cruise to victory here, the -1 handicap seems fair enough at -125.

    Saturday, March 14- 6 Matches

    Featured Match Bayern Munich vs Werder Bremen

    3-Way 1x2 Lines:

    Bayern -380

    Bremen +1050

    Draw +520


    Bayern -1.5 -130

    Bremen +1.5 +110

    Total 3.5:

    Over +110

    Under -130

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Well, we just saw Werder Bremen give up five goals to Wolfsburg the last time we were at Weserstadion, and now Bayern comes to town following up a 7 - 0 win in Champions League. Naturally, the line setters saw both events and, deservedly so, they hand Bayern strong chalk entering the match. We know Bremen has played much better in the second half of the campaign so far, and it has gotten them in the discussion for Europe, only 5 points back of Europa League contention.

    What can we do in this spot knowing that Bayern's confidence is through the roof right now, they are scoring at will, and are doing just as well defensively? As far as prices go, the only realistic option is certainly the +110 to see four goals scored to cash the Over 3.5, so why not? Bayern knows that they can get that much closer to clinching this thing, so they can turn their attention to the other two competitions they are in. We also know that we damn well can't take an under with this club at all.

    Over it is, and 3.5 at +110 will have to do.

    Paderborn vs Frankfurt

    3-Way: 1: Paderborn +410 Away ; X: +310 Draw ; 2: Frankfurt -150 Home

    Spread: Paderborn +0.5 +130 ; Frankfurt -0.5 -150

    Total 3: Over -115 ; Under -105

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Let's make this one easy to read, and easy to play.

    Paderborn can't stop anyone.

    Frankfurt can't stop anyone.

    This total at 3 should not stop anyone from playing this Over, because if you didn't notice the theme here, no one is going to stop anyone, and there will be no one standing in the way of the window when we walk up to it to cash our Over 3 ticket!

    Moving on!

    Mainz vs Augsburg

    3-Way: 1: Mainz +290 Away ; X: +250 Draw ; 2: Augsburg +100 Home

    Spread: Mainz +0.5 -120 ; Augsburg -0.5 +100

    Total 2.5: Over -105 ; Under -115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Augsburg did something we just did not see coming last weekend, and that was hold Wolfsburg to a clean sheet, allowing them only two shots on goal. That is impressive, since we all know the Wolf has been scoring almost as often as Bayern lately.

    Augsburg had gone four straight without a win before that match, and yet they still are managing to hold on to their Europe League spot with those three big points.

    All of a sudden Mainz finds themselves only three points up on the relegation spot held by Paderborn at the moment, and if they don't start playing better soon, there will be no later to talk about. Mainz hasn't won here since 2008, but they have drawn the last three times they visited SGL Arena, with a 3 - 1 - 1 record in the last 5 meetings.

    History stats sometimes come in to play, but this is about the here and now, and to see Augsburg play that well last weekend against an upper tier club like Wolfsburg should give them enough confidence to eke out a win at home against Mainz. The 3-Way +100 on the home side makes the board this weekend.

    Schalke vs Hertha Berlin

    3-Way: 1: Schalke +175 Away ; X: +220 Draw ; 2: Berlin +175 Home

    Spread: Schalke Pk -110 ; Berlin Pk -110

    Total 2.5: Over +120 ; Under -140

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    We can only imagine the ride home from Spain for Schalke after winning 4 - 3 against Real Madrid, only to be knocked out of Champions League anyway. Madrid had so many streaks on the line, including trying to match the home win record in Champions League, but the 2 - 0 loss at home for Schalke in the first leg ended up costing them in the long run. It’s not too often that you see a club with 4 away goals be sent packing out of the event.

    So the question is, how does Schalke rebound from the strange emotion of beating Real Madrid in Spain only to travel to Berlin to pick up the pieces? The line setters are not convinced that they can rebound, and don't give much favoritism to either side, but we see this as an opportunity to take advantage of that and recommend the Schalke Pk at a reasonable -110, with a Draw no Bet handicap in place.

    Hamburger vs Hoffenheim

    3-Way: 1: Hamburger +360 Away ; X: +285 Draw ; 2: Hoffenheim -130 Home

    Spread: Hamburg +0.5 +110 ; Hoffenheim -0.5 -130

    Total 2.5: Over -125 ; Under +105

    Analysis and Prediction:

    We were actually impressed seeing Hamburg keep Dortmund at bay last weekend with a 0 - 0 draw bringing in a point, but Hamburg, on the edge of relegation, can't really do much with draws at this point.

    Hoffenheim lost 3 - 1 to Schalke last weekend, after Schalke had lost to Dortmund 3 - 0 the week before. Now Hamburg has to face Hoffenheim, who is coming off a 0 - 0 draw with Dortmund, just to compare common opponents recently.Hamburg knows they can't afford to get into an up-and-down affair with anyone, only having found the net a league low 16 times this campaign. We will play the Under 2.5 here at +105, with the juice being on the other side of the action.

    Koln vs Borussia Dortmund

    3-Way: 1: Koln +1050 Away ; X: +430 Draw ; 2: Dortmund -325 Home

    Spread: Koln +1.5 -115; Dortmund -1.5 -105

    Total 2.5: Over -120; Under +100

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    We just mentioned who Dortmund has been playing lately, and even with the draw they got held to last weekend they are still among the hottest clubs in Germany with 13 points out of possible 15 the last 5 outings. Only Bayern has secured all 15 points over that same time span, and we know Dortmund is just getting back to being the club who made their way to Champions League last year. They will have their second leg meeting with Juventus in C.L next week, down 2 - 1 on aggregate and headed home for the second leg onWednesday, March 18.

    Koln broke out with four goals vs Frankfurt last weekend, making that their second time they scored as many times. But stopping Dortmund from scoring here at Iduna Park probably won't be something we will see.

    This Over 2.5 is juiced at -120 because it should be, and we will be suggesting a play on the assumption that 2 - 1 will be easily obtainable for these two. Why worry about who wins when we can get paid from them both scoring on each other. In fact, the Both to Score prop points to 'No' they won't both score, and we completely disagree with that as well, so if you have the European option of finding that bet, we would recommend the 'Yes' side of the prop.

    Sunday, March 15- 2 Matches

    Freiburg vs Wolfsburg

    3-Way: 1: Freiburg +830 Away ; X: +445 Draw ; 2: Wolfsburg -300 Home

    Spread: Freiburg +1.5 -115 ; Wolfsburg -1.5 -105

    Total 3: Over -120 ; Under +100

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Someone stole Wolfsburg's mojo last weekend and Augsburg did a tremendous job holding the Wolf to only two shots on goal in a 1 - 0 win. Wolfsburg has been in our featured match of the weekend the last couple of weeks, and they have gotten to where they are by scoring. If not for Bayern's 66 goals scored, Wolfsburg easily leads the rest of the pack with 53 goals to their credit.

    Freiburg has lost their last two outings, and has three of the last four against Wolfsburg, with a draw in the mix as well. Wolfsburg has scored 12 goals in those four meetings. They should easily be able to get back on track, while keeping that second spot in the table secure, almost accepting that Bayern is just about to wrap up the title.

    We will take this Over 3, expecting the Wolf to come out angry and aggressive scoring all 3 of those goals, and have no issue with making a side order of -1.5 on the Wolfsburg handicap at home as well.

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    Hannover vs Moenchenhgladbach

    3-Way: 1: Hannover +420 Away ; X: +265 Draw ; 2: Gladbach -135 Home

    Spread: Hannover +0.5 +115 ; Gladbach -0.5 -135

    Total 2.5: Over +100 ; Under -120

    Analysis and Prediction:

    We end the weekend suggesting balls will be finding the net here in Borussia Park, and it’s because Hannover is on the pitch. In 11 of the last 13 matches Hannover has played in Bundesliga, the Both to Score prop has cashed in and, in fact, the handicap of Over 2 and 2.5 is a semi reasonable -130 at most sites.

    We won't settle for that however, and the straight Over 2.5 goes in the books at +100, expecting neither to see 1 - 1 as a useful result.

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