Soccer Odds - German Bundesliga Week 20 Fixtures Featuring Moenchengladbach vs Schalke

  • Thursday, February 5th, 2015

    By  Ej Garr


    Soccer Betting: The news of Udo Lattek’s passing has taken over the media all throughout Germany, and he will leave behind a legacy that no one will forget. We could go over his accomplishments, but his successes in Germany as a manager are quite impressive to say the least, and we could write a book about his achievements. We all hope he rests in peace, of course.

    This weekend will complete 3 rounds of fixtures that were played over the last 2 weekends. Once again, our featured match of the week involves Schalke, as they host Moenchengladbach in a meeting of two clubs separated by only two points in the table. It is the match that kicks off our weekendon Friday, with the round concludingon Sunday.

    In fact, league leader Bayern Munich has shown that they are human, because going into the break they were unblemished in the loss column, and now have only taken 1 point in the two matches to begin the second half of the campaign.

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    So much to talk about this weekend, and so little time to do it, so let's get to the rest of the weekend, and break down each match on the docket.

    Friday, February 6- 1 Match

    Featured Match Moenchengladbach vs Schalke

    3-Way 1x2 Lines:

    Gladbach +170

    Schalke +160

    Draw +245


    Gladbach Pk -105

    Schalke Pk -115

    Total 2.5:

    Over -115

    Under -105

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Moenchengladbach has certainly taken advantage of the schedule they were handed to start the second half of the campaign. Stuttgart and Freiburg both are fighting to even stay in top flight football, and both were unable to find the net against them.

    Even though Schalke was able to find a draw against Bayern over the weekend, it was actually a bit disappointing. They were a man up for almost the entire match, andChoupo-Moting could not convert the penalty kick that came from the red card that Boateng picked up in only the 17th minute.

    They also gave up the first goal of the match, playing 11 v 10, and had to come back to salvage a draw. At least now they will get Klaas-Jan Huntelaar back in the lineup for this match, because honestly Choupo-Moting needs the support up front, so he isn't the sole objective for opposing defenses to concentrate on.

    This match has a feeling of a draw to it. However, playing draws as we have discussed before is tough to hope for. We will play the Under 2.5 at -105, expecting a low-scoring type of draw.

    Saturday, February 7- 6 Matches

    Dortmund vs Freiburg

    3-Way: 1: Dortmund -155 Away ; X: +315 Draw ; 2: Freiburg +425 Home

    Spread: Dortmund -1 +100 ; Freiburg +1 -120

    Total 2.5: Over -135 ; Under +115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Dortmund has come out of the break as flat as a week old beer -- not scoring a single goal since coming off the break and having to contend with two clubs near the top of the table with Augsburg and Leverkusen. How this club survived the Group Stage of Champions League is beyond us. But they didn't just survive, they won their group, and only allowed 4 goals in the process.

    However, this is not Champions League, and if they don't start playing better in domestic league, they will be in second tier next year. Freiburg has been terrible for most of, if not the entire, campaign, with only 3 wins to show for their efforts, but Dortmund beating anyone by 2 goals is hysterical to us.

    We are taking the +1 handicap on the home side Freiburg at -120, expecting both clubs to battle back and forth hoping to escape relegation.

    Paderborn vs Koln

    3-Way: 1: Paderborn +335 Away ; X: +255 Draw ; 2: Koln -115 Home

    Spread: Paderborn +0.5 -105 ; Koln -0.5 -115

    Total 2.5: Over +105 ; Under -125

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Paderborn has been outscored 8 - 0 in the first two matches off the break, so we strongly recommend avoiding whatever it is they did to prepare for the second half of the campaign. Not to mention, those two matches were against Mainz and Hamburg, who are not exactly having stellar seasons either.

    We took a chance on Koln in their mid-week meeting with lowly Stuttgart, but they let us down, and couldn't find the net at all. However, they did draw and find a point away from home, so to them it was a mild success.

    Taking Overs with Koln can be tricky, since they are only averaging one goal per game this year, but after being shut down last week, they should have some success against Paderborn at home. We will suggest this Over 2.5 at a reasonable +105 on the action.

    Hertha Berlin vs Mainz

    3-Way: 1: Berlin +315 Away ; X: +245 Draw ; 2: Mainz -105 Home

    Spread: Berlin +0.5 -115 ; Mainz -0.5 -105

    Total 2.5: Over +105 ; Under -125

    Analysis and Prediction:

    If you would like to take Berlin away from home this weekend, you did not hear it from us! The worst road team in the league prepares for Mainz, who rested players in their mid-week fixture to have them healthy for the weekend.

    Again, we say if you cannot score you have no chance of winning, and one thing Berlin can't do is score. Even with 5 weeks to prepare for the second half of the year, nothing has been figured out and they have been held to three straight clean sheets now, dating back to the last match before the break.

    There is only one reasonable play to make here, and it is on the home side at -105, expecting Mainz to find all 3 points available.

    Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart

    3-Way: 1: Bayern -455 Away ; X: +565 Draw ; 2: Stuttgart +1330 Home

    Spread: Bayern -1.5 -150 ; Stuttgart +1.5 +130

    Total 3: Over -120 ; Under +100

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Bayern has come out of the second half gate struggling, albeit they did find themselves down a man early in the Schalke match, and still scored first in a 1 - 1 draw.

    Luckily, Stuttgart has not come close to beating Bayern the last 12 times they have met in all competitions, which includes 9 league matches and 3 cup meetings. Stuttgart hasn't scored a goal in three straight matches, dating back to the last game before the break, and trying to figure that out, and trying to get over the dominance Bayern has had on them, will make this a rather tricky assignment.

    Throw in the home record with one win on the campaign, and having only scored 4 goals at Mercedes-Benz Arena while surrendering 17, and we have all the evidence we need to expect Bayern to finally snap back into shape. The lines are of course not user friendly, so the move from -1.5 to -2 is where the value is at +110 or so. If Bayern struggles again, we will then have to determine how to proceed with the rest of the campaign.

    Hoffenheim vs Wolfsburg

    3-Way: 1: Hoffenheim +455 Away ; X: +355 Draw ; 2: Wolfsburg -175 Home

    Spread: Hoffenheim +1 -115 ; Wolfsburg -1 -105

    Total 3.5: Over +115 ; Under -135

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Well, the emotions did overwhelm this Wolfsburg club, as we thought it might after the thumping by Bayern to begin the second half of the campaign. They barely survived the Frankfurt match, and had to come back from 1 - 0 down to find a point from a draw in their mid-week fixture.

    We certainly understand why the line setters are making us decide if there will be 4 or more goals on the total, with a 3.5 sitting there, but yet they put a harsh -135 on the Under. That’s too harsh for us, and we expect a full out melee of goals to be scored here. This should be, and likely will be, the highest scoring match of the weekend, and we are expecting at least 4 goals, if not more.

    Throw in the +115 price, and that makes this Over 3.5 that much more worth our time. Put it on the board!

    Hannover vs Hamburger

    3-Way: 1: Hannover +225 Away ; X: +235 Draw ; 2: Hamburg +130 Home

    Spread: Hannover Pk +130 ; Hamburg Pk -150

    Total 2.5: Over +105 ; Under -125

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Hannover has actually done quite well away from HDI-Arena this year, yet the line setters seem to think they have no shot here. We completely disagree with them, and see this Hannover Pk at +130 as a nice opportunity to catch them sleeping.

    Hamburg has lost their last 2 home matches to Koln and Stuttgart, and if someone wants to give them respect here, that is up to you. Hannover can surely walk out of here with some type of result, be it a draw if they must, which will not hurt us one bit.

    Sunday, February 8- 2 Matches

    Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen

    3-Way: 1: Leverkusen -115 Away ; X: +270 Draw ; 2: Bremen +335 Home

    Spread: Leverkusen -0.5 -115 ; Bremen +0.5 -105

    Total 2.5: Over -135; Under +115

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    We completely understand why this Over 2.5 is juiced at -135. What would stop these two from scoring all over each other? It was 3 - 3 in their first meeting this year in September, and we could see a similar score here this weekend as well.

    Why settle for -135 on the 2,5, when we can move the line to Over 2.5 and 3 handicap, and get us just about to the even money mark, at -105.There will undoubtedly be 3 goals here, at the very worst, and that will at least bring in something.

    Frankfurt vs Augsburg

    3-Way: 1: Frankfurt +315 Away ; X: +270 Draw ; 2: Augsburg -115 Home

    Spread: Frankfurt +0.5 -105; Augsburg -0.5 -115

    Total 2.5: Over -150 ; Under +130

    Analysis and Prediction:

    So who has the longest winning streak in Bundesliga at the moment? You guessed it, it's Augsburg! Granted, it is a whole 3 matches, but it is what it is, and they did walk in to Frankfurt on the front half of the campaign finding 3 points in a 1 - 0 win. Now they return home, and bring a solid 7 - 2 record to the SGL-Arena.

    We are not going to fade Augsburg, until they give us a reason to, and right now, there is no reason to expect Frankfurt to go on the road and get a result.

    Augsburg, at home, to win on the 3-Way line at -115, will have to do.

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