Soccer Odds - German Bundesliga Week 11 Fixtures Featuring Mainz vs Leverkusen

  • Thursday, November 6th, 2014

    By  Ej Garr


    Soccer Betting: The weekend beginson Fridaywith Hannover headed to Berlin on November 7. Berlin has been stuck alternating wins and losses their last 6 matches and looked out of sync in the second half vs Paerborn last weekend in a 3 - 1 loss.

    Our featured match of the week comes in the form of Mainz and Leverkusenon Saturdayat Bay Arena. Why this match you ask? Well, it is the only matchup of clubs in the upper half of the table, and it should actually be a good match. The Away club took both meetings last season, and Leverkusen was playing exceptional football until last weekend's loss to Hamburger.

    Mainz had not tasted defeat through the first 8 matches and have now suffered 2 straight losses. The most recent of them was to Werder Bremen last weekend, who are dead last in the table with that being their only campaign victory.

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    The weekend continues with Bayern Munich headed to Frankfurt and looking to keep their undefeated streak intact.

    The twoSundaymatches might prove to be interesting, with 2 clubs tied at 20 points in the table. These important matches are Wolfsburg at home facing Hamburger and Moenchengladbach taking the short trip to Dortmund.

    Let's get into the matches and see what we take out of them.

    Friday, November 7- 1 Match

    Hannover vs Hertha Berlin

    3-Way: 1: Hannover +290 Away X: +250 Draw 2: Berlin -105 Home

    Spread: Hannover +0.5 -115 Berlin -0.5 -105

    Total 2.5: Over -110 Under -110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Both clubs were knocked out of the DFB Pokal last week, so there are no other competitions left to concentrate on but Bundesliga.

    Paderborn made easy work of Berlin last weekend, as they continue to struggle scoring lately. They may have 15 goals scored on the season, but they have not been consistent lately. With 4 GF, only Hamburger has had less success finding the net than Hannover. Hannover is tied with Koln with only 7 goals scored in the campaign.

    Something tells me this is a 2 - 1 match waiting to happen. Berlin is giving up almost 2 goals per match, and Hannover has also given up more than they have scored with a 7/11 ratio. I will take this Over 2.5 with minimal juice of -110.

    Saturday, November 8- 6 Matches

    Featured Match Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen

    3-Way 1x2 Lines:

    Mainz +585

    Leverkusen -195 Draw +330


    Mainz +1 +115

    Leverkusen -1 -135

    Total 3:

    Over -115

    Under -105

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    As we mentioned in the intro, all of a sudden Mainz is headed in the wrong direction with 2 straight losses, but they do have the rest advantage as Leverkusen had an away match mid-week in Russia for Champions League.

    Depending on the situation, playing 3 matches in a week can be either good or bad. In this case, I see it as a good thing for Leverkusen, as they have to atone for the loss to Hamburger last weekend with a huge win in Russia. In fact, I think it will carry over and we will see some goal scoring from both sides. I will take the Over 3 at -115.

    Bayern Munich vs Frankfurt

    3-Way: 1: Bayern -490 Away X: +615 Draw 2: Frankfurt +1350 Home

    Spread: Bayern -2 -115 Frankfurt +2 -105

    Total 3.5: Over -110 Under -110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Frankfurt has not stopped anyone all campaign. Letting in 19 goals in only 10 matches is obviously not a recipe for success. It is also not helpful that the Bayern assault comes to town who, despite having a mid-week Champions League match, should be able to manage more than moderate success finding the net. The Over is 3.5 because it should be that high. What else would anyone expect the line setters to think, especially with a - 2 on the away side? There really are no choices here other than the -2 and the Over, expecting 2 - 0 by halftime, and a more evenly-matched 1 - 1 second half. 3 - 1 Bayern sounds about right to me, but we can also not be shocked if Bayern finds a 4th to do all the work for us.

    Paderborn vs Augsburg

    3-Way: 1: Paderborn +395 Away X: +265 Draw 2: Augsburg -130 Home

    Spread: Paderborn +0.5 -110 Augsburg -0.5 -130

    Total 2.5: Over -110 Under -110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    It's been a few years since these two have met, but it won't stop them from giving us a match that should be filled with some goal scoring.

    Augsburg has won 3 straight at home, and Paderborn has not won away from home since their first match and have also gone 3 straight without a win on the road. In my opinion, this will be a semi-shootout and I expect no less than 3 goals, as both can ill afford to let points keep going by the wayside. Over 2.5 with minimal juice works for me here.

    Schalke vs Freiburg

    3-Way: 1: Schalke +155 Away X: +230 Draw 2: Freiburg +190 Home

    Spread: Schalke Pk -130 Freiburg Pk -110

    Total 2.5: Over -120 Under +100

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Schalke heads to Mage Solar on the southern tip of Germany to take on Freiburg who only have 1 win to their campaign. However, that win did come last weekend, so they will look to get back on track at home.

    Freiburg has done little to help their cause in their building, with 3 draws to their credit, but no wins here yet.

    Schalke is still playing in Champions League and will be coming off a match in Portugal, making this their third match in a week's time. I think Schalke will get a result of some sort here, but in case they do not win the safest bet will be the Pk at -130, so the Draw is a No Bet situation.

    Koln vs Hoffenheim

    3-Way: 1: Koln +300 Away X: +260 Draw Hoffenheim -105 Home

    Spread: Koln +0.5 -115 Hoffenheim -0.5 -105

    Total 2.5: Over -125 Under +105

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Hoffenheim is coming off their first loss of the campaign last weekend, so they will look to get back on track at home vs Koln.

    Koln has actually done okay away from home, with 2 wins and a draw in 5 matches, and rely on their defense and Timo Horn, who we know has plenty of experience.

    I see this as a low-scoring 1 - 0, 1 - 1 type match, so the Under 2.5 at +Money sounds like the way to go here.

    Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen

    3-Way: 1: Stuttgart +170 Away X: +240 Draw Bremen +165 Home

    Spread: Stuttgart Pk -110 Bremen Pk -110

    Total 3: Over -105 Under -115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Well, Werder Bremen finally found a way to secure 3 points last weekend in a nice win over Mainz away from home, so how will they follow it up is the question. Stuttgart has not been much better this campaign with only 2 wins and 23 Goals allowed through only 10 matches.

    Bremen should stick with the pace they played with vs Mainz and we know both lead the league with 27 Goals allowed between them. If -105 is all they are asking us to pay for a 3 Total, then so be it! Over 3 it is!

    Sunday, November 9- 2 Matches

    Hamburger vs Wolfsburg

    3-Way: 1: Hamburger +425 Away X: +300 Draw 2: Wolfsburg -150 Home

    Spread: Hamburger +1 -130 ; Wolfsburg -1 +110

    Total 3: Over -105 Under -115

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    It doesn't matter what league, competition, or whatever Wolfsburg has to deal with, the net is being found in droves. We all think of Bayern as a team no one can stop, and in case you missed it, they don't care who you are or where they play. They have scored 17 goals since Oct 18, which includes 3 Bundesliga matches, a DFB Pokal match and Europa League match.

    The club from Hamburg is simply not scoring. Four Goals scored the entire season so far, and that does not bode well when you have to try to keep pace with a club who brings 90 minutes of pressure.

    For some, the -150 is acceptable. For me, not so much. I have mentioned plenty that -135 is about my cutoff point when it comes to juice, so I will turn to the -1 at +110 since we would need them to win to cash either bet. I would rather push a -1 than put a -150 on the board. Wolfsburg -1 at +110 and the Over 3 at -105 will be on my board.

    Moenchengladbach vs Dortmund

    3-Way: 1: Moenchengladbach +485 Away X: +315 Draw 2: Dortmund -170 Home

    Spread: Moenchengladbach +1 -105 Dortmund -1 -115

    Total 3: Over -115 Under -105

    Analysis and Prediction:

    And we end the weekend in Signal Iduna Park with two clubs who are both playing in European Competitions.Dortmund looked mighty impressive vs Galatasaray in CLTuesdaywith a 4-goal outburst at home, but understand that Moench has only given up 5 goals and are one of only 2 clubs yet to face defeat. Hard not to admit that the 0 - 0 match with Bayern was pretty impressive. Switzerland's Yan Sommer has certainly been a wall on the back line this year.Throw in the 0 - 0 performance vs Bayern recently, and I just do not see 3 goals here, despite the offenses being more than capable.

    I will take this Under 3, and if it ends 2 - 1 so be it, no harm done.

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