German Bundesliga Week 30: Wolfsburg vs Moenchengladbach

  • Thursday, April 23rd, 2015

    By  Ej Garr


    Soccer Betting: Bayern Munich is the toast of Germany at the moment, reversing a 3 - 1 first leg deficit to Porto during the week with six goals at home to move on to the Champions League semifinals. They will host Berlin this weekend at Allianz Arenaon Saturday, looking to put a bow on the campaign with the possibility of winning the league this weekend. Bayern is 12 points clear of Wolfsburg with five matches remaining in the campaign. Essentially this means that if Bayern takes three points, and Wolfsburg struggles with Gladbach in any way, it will seal the Bayern title for the 25th time.

    Wolfsburg is involved with our match of the weekend at Borussia-Park when they face Moenchengladbach, in a battle of two clubs in the top four of the table. The Wolves must win out and hope Bayern falters even one ounce down the stretch in hopes of a title.

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    They have seven points clearance on both Gladbach and Leverkusen, who are all seeking two of the last three Champions League group stage potential.

    Let's see what we can find for some action on the German pitch this weekend, and break it down match by match.

    Friday, April 24, 1 Match

    Schalke vs Mainz

    3-Way: 1: Schalke +205 Away ; X: +235 Draw ; 2: Mainz +145 Home

    Spread: Schalke Pk +120 ; Mainz Pk -140

    Total 2.5: Over -105 ; Under -115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Schalke has four wins and three draws in the last seven league meetings between the two clubs that dates back to the second meeting in 2011. Mainz does have a Cup win against them, however, which came in 2012, and overall Schalke has not struggled much against Mainz in the last 10 years.

    How that effects this match is another story, as Schalke is trying to fend off eight other clubs for the Europa League group stage entry.Schalke is tied with Augsburg at 42 points for the last two Europa League spots in the table. Mainz is at the back of the pack of clubs eight points behind, and are likely the last possible club to catch lightning in a bottle with only five matches and 15 points left in the campaign.

    In ninr meetings at Coface Arena, Schalke has never lost, with five wins and four draws there.

    Thank you history stat! Love the history stats and, we mentioned it before: play it until it stops, because hopefully you were on them the first nine times, and never lost a bet along the way. We will take the Pk Draw no Bet on Schalke at +120, until Mainz finds a way to snap the ugly history between the two clubs.

    Saturday, April 25- 6 Matches

    Hertha Berlin vs Bayern Munich

    3-Way: 1: Berlin +1900 Away ; X: +700 Draw ; 2: Bayern -650 Home

    Spread: Berlin +2 -105; Bayern -2 -115

    Total 3: Over -105 ; Under -115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Bayern's display during the week in Champions League was impressive once again, with six goals and a depleted roster, facing a 3 - 1 aggregate deficit to Porto.

    Deficit erased, and hello, semi-finals of the biggest club competition in Europe. To think the next time they lace up for Champions League they may be close to full health is even scarier for who they might match up with in the final four.

    For now we turn our attention to league play, and Berlin is walking into a building they would most likely not want to be at. If Bayern takes these three points, they will have a 15-point lead on Wolfsburg, and they have only given up 13 goals on the year.Let's just say the crowd this weekend will be amped and let you figure out the rest.

    We will gladly recommend the Over 3, and the Bayern -2 in this case, because a 3 - 0 result would be good enough to push and cash a ticket, and they can certainly win this match by two goals while scoring at least three.

    Bayer Leverkusen vs Koln

    3-Way: 1: Leverkusen -135 Away ; X: +270 Draw ; 2: Koln +420 Home

    Spread: Leverkusen -0.5 -135; Koln +0.5 +115

    Total 2.5: Over +105 ; Under -125

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Leverkusen is also deep in the hunt for European positioning, tied at the moment for the last Champions League group stage entry with Gladbach at 54 points. Fourth place also holds Champions League entry, although it will be further back at qualifying, instead of automatic group stage entry.

    Koln basically needs to find results in two or three of their final five matches to essentially simply ensure they will be in top flight next season, although they do have to be conscience of only being seven points clear on the final relegation spot.

    This will not be one of those five games that Koln gets a result in, and we are suggesting the -135 action on Leverkusen, right at the edge of our comfort zone when it pertains to juice.

    Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund

    3-Way: 1: Frankfurt +860 Away ; X: +460 Draw ; 2: Dortmund -315 Home

    Spread: Frankfurt +1.5 -105 ; Dortmund -1.5 -115

    Total 3.5: Over +115 ; Under -135

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Frankfurt and Dortmund are tied at 36 points, and each needs to make up six points in the table to get back in the European discussion. That shows how poor of a league this is as a whole, to be honest, because this is a four horse race up top, with 14 other teams that simply exist in Bundesliga.

    No one with 36 points through 29 games should be in a discussion for European entry next year, and we see both of these two with more losses than wins on the campaign. The one who walks out of here with three points could in fact pull that much closer to Schalke and Augsburg, only six points back coming into the weekend.

    The line setters clearly see that winning team at home, with an obnoxious -350 on Dortmund, and still a -115 on the -1.5 handicap. Most likely, that is also a result of only two wins for Frankfurt away from home this year.

    Can we be the ballsy people of the weekend? Would anyone consider us crazy if we recommend a little, if even a little, action on the +860 on Frankfurt away from home? We do know that any given day, anything can happen and with Dortmund so favored, and not even playing that well, it sure makes it tempting.

    Maybe this is one of those options to take the +1.5 on Franfkurt with our normal action, and take a fraction of that towards a straight upset call at +860 for Frankfurt. For instance, in basic format $100 on the main action, and $15 on the 3-Way line, as an example only.

    Augsburg vs Hamburger

    3-Way: 1: Augsburg +175 Away ; X: +235 Draw ; 2: Hamburg +165 Home

    Spread: Augsburg Pk -105 ; Hamburg Pk -115

    Total 2.5: Over +115 ; Under -135

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Augsburg finally put a long run of poor results behind them last weekend with a 2 - 1 win against Stuttgart, barely getting by a club who is most possibly headed down to second tier next campaign, although nothing is 100% clear at the bottom of the table.

    Hamburg is among those teams and, in fact are in the proverbial basement with 25 points. The 16 goals on the campaign was eventually going to catch up to them, and they have not won a single match sinceFebruary 7, spanning nine fixtures.

    Augsburg has certainly had the historic edge, only losing once in seven meetings since 2011, but neither club has had a lick of consistency lately. Hard to not overlook the six straight matches that Hamburg has not scored a goal, and that doesn't even include the 0 - 0 result in a friendly withVfL Osnabruck. As hard as it is to do, we have to at least give Augsburg a little respect since they are actually in some kind of fight for Europe, and they can score for goodness sake. The Pk at -105 on the away side goes in the books.

    Hoffenheim vs Hannover

    3-Way: 1: Hoffenheim +185 Away ; X: +255 Draw ; 2: Hannover +145 Home

    Spread: Hoffenheim Pk +115 ; Hannover Pk -135

    Total 2.5: Over -155 ; Under +135

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Speaking of bad clubs, Hoffenheim is, amazingly, only five points behind Augsburg and Schalke for the Europe League entries, despite losing their last three matches and having only 37 points through 29 fixtures. Hannover is in even more trouble, with 14 losses on the campaign and only two points clear of the final relegation position.

    Do we have to give a suggestion here? I guess we do, and we obviously suggest that if you are that much of an action junkie play this as small as possible.This draw is only fitting here at +255 to chase some action if any, so let's see if a 1 - 1 match comes from this one, and splash a few cents on the draw.

    Freiburg vs Stuttgart

    3-Way: 1: Freiburg +320 Away ; X: +270 Draw ; 2: Stuttgart -115 Home

    Spread: Freiburg +0.5 -105 ; Stuttgart -0.5 -115

    Total 2.5: Over -105 ; Under -115

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Well Stuttgart may have climbed out of the basement, but they haven't climbed very far. One point from the bottom of the table is cause for concern, as it has been for all of the second half of the campaign. Freiburg only has 29 points, and is also only three points away from the final spot that gets sent down to second tier, so this match is big for both clubs, in hopes of simply staying in top flight.

    This could be another draw type of match, but that +0.5 on Freiburg seems decent enough as well at -105. Stuttgart is simply not going to make it in our opinion, and this result will contribute to why they will not be in Bundesliga next year.

    Sunday, April 26- 2 Matches

    Featured Match Wolfsburg vs Moenchengladbach

    3-Way 1x2 Lines:

    Wolfsburg +195

    Gladbach +140

    Draw +255


    Wolfsburg Pk +115

    Gladbach Pk -135

    Total 2.5:

    Over -125

    Under +105

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Wolfsburg knows that the real battle for them is to simply maintain their second position in the table, and make it to Champions League group stage next season. Gladbach and Leverkusen have to make up seven points if they hope to catch the Wolves, and a heads up battle here for Gladbach at home could certainly lend a hand in tracking them down.

    Wolfsburg has to only concentrate on league play now that they were eliminated by Napoli in Europa League this past week, and they have not lost in league play sinceMarch 7. Gladbach hasn't lost sinceFebruary 6in league play, spanning nine matches, although they have played in two other competitions in 2015, taking part in both Europa League and the German Cup

    Who wants it more will be the question, because this result will directly affect placement in the top four of the table. We are suggesting this Over 2.5 at a marginal -125, expecting some fireworks with so much on the line for the two clubs. Although the 22 goals allowed by Gladbach will certainly come in handy when the season ends.

    Werder Bremen vs Paderborn

    3-Way: 1: Bremen +165 Away ; X: +255 Draw ; 2: Paderborn +165 Home

    Spread: Bremen Pk -110 ; Paderborn Pk -110

    Total 2.5: Over -140 ; Under +120

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    We wholly understand why this total of 2.5 is -140.Werder Bremen smacked this club around in a 4 - 0 win at home early in the campaign, and Paderborn has been a horrible home team this year, as we said last time they were here. They did snap their goal-less streak at home last time out against Augsburg, but that does not mean everything is simply fixed now.

    Move this total to a straight 3, and get a lovely +125 for your efforts. If it is 2 - 1, no harm done, and we will move on to bet another day.

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