Bundesliga Week 26 Moenchengladbach vs Bayern Munich

  • Thursday, March 19th, 2015

    By  Ej Garr


    Soccer Betting: Round 26 features two clubs in the top 3 of the Bundesliga table when Moenchengladbach looks to slow down Bayern Munich at Iduna Park to close out the weekend. Before we get there, the weekend starts with aFridaymatch at Imtech Arena, as Hertha Berlin visits Hamburger, pitting two clubs against each other who are on the edge of the relegation zone in the table.

    Saturdayplays host to six of the remaining eight matches before we arrive at theSundayduo. Bayer Leverkusen and Schalke highlight theSaturdayfixtures with Leverkusen coming off the disappointing Champions League mid-week match that resulted in Germany being out of the competition. They gave Atletico Madrid all they could handle and took a 1 - 0 aggregate to Spain, but lost in shootouts and can now concentrate on the domestic campaign.

    WhenSunday comes, two big matches with all 3 of the clubs at the top of table will be on stage, as Mainz hosts Wolfsburg along with our featured match of the round.

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    Let's get to the pitch, and see what action we can find around Bundesliga this weekend.

    Friday, March 20- 1 Match

    Berlin vs Hamburger

    3-Way: 1: Berlin +245 Away ; X: +215 Draw ; 2: Hamburger +130 Home

    Spread: Berlin Pk +135 ; Hamburger Pk -160

    Total 2: Over -120 ; Under +100

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Two clubs, separated by a single point, find themselves just outside of the relegation zone, with Hamburger trying to snap a 3-match win streak that Berlin has against them. Berlin won the first meeting at home 3 - 0 in the first half of the campaign, and also swept both meetings last year. The club comes off an impressive 2 - 2 draw with Schalke over the weekend, although a 90th-minute goal against them might not sit well, after they saw 2 of those 3 points disappear with one shot.

    Hamburger is winless in their last 5 outings, and come off a 3 - 0 loss to Hoffenheim. They only managed two shots on goal with maybe two other chances that we considered good opportunities, but overall, they have not played well the last month at all.

    Berlin has at least shown us they can score, as Hamburger is still at the bottom of the barrel when it comes to goals scored, with only 16 through 25 fixtures. We will just throw in the Berlin Pk at +135, seeking some value and settling for a draw, if we must. No harm would come from that, and that price is fair enough to hope they manage to play well over Hamburg, as they have the last few times out.

    Saturday, March 21- 6 Matches

    Werder Bremen vs Koln

    3-Way: 1: Bremen +245 Away ; X: +235 Draw ; 2: Koln +120 Home

    Spread: Bremen +0.5 -140 ; Koln -0.5 +120

    Total 2.5: Over +105 ; Under -125

    Analysis and Prediction:

    We were pretty disappointed in the Koln result with Dortmund last weekend, as we expected some scoring in that match, but it never came. We did, however cash our Over ticket at 3.5 with a +110 attached to it on the Bremen match with Bayern last weekend.

    So if we expected them both to cash their overs last weekend, and ended up splitting it last week, we now hope they combine to splash this Over 2.5 at a nice +105. We could surely see 2 - 1 here, even though we did see a 1 - 0 score the first time these two met earlier in the campaign. That was a completely different time, and Bremen has certainly been a shooting club in the second half of the season so far.

    Dortmund vs Hannover

    3-Way: 1: Dortmund -155 Away ; X: +300 Draw ; 2: Hannover +440 Home

    Spread: Dortmund -1 +110 ; Hannover +1 -130

    Total 2.5: Over -130 ; Under +110

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Dortmund can finally put their European campaign to rest, getting convincingly knocked out of Champions League this week to Juventus. They are still alive in the German Cup, and will continue in that when April begins.

    Bundesliga has played eight rounds since the winter break, and Hannover would rather go make snow angels and forget what they have been through since returning. Not a single win to show, with three draws and now less than a handful of points from the third relegation spot held by Paderborn.

    We all know that Dortmund has made a tremendous turnaround themselves, and we were talking about them in the drop zone most of the first half of the campaign. If Dortmund can simply accept that Juventus was clearly worlds above them in Europe, and manage to rebound to the club they have been lately, this should be a cake walk. Granted, that is why they play the games, but until Hannover even shows us any kind of life, there is no way we can invest our hard earned money on a club who has looked that bad for this long.

    The Dortmund -1 will have to do here, as -155 is just too much juice to recommend, so the +110 on the handicap will have to do.

    Augsburg vs Freiburg

    3-Way: 1: Augsburg +145 Away ; X: +235 Draw ; 2: Freiburg +200 Home

    Spread: Augsburg Pk -135 ; Freiburg Pk +115

    Total 2.5: Over +105 ; Under -125

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Augsburg looked absolutely lost last weekend against Mainz, getting caught fouling 22 times, because they could not keep up with the pace that Mainz set.

    Even though the possession battle was about even, you could see that Mainz really was the club who wanted it more, keeping Augsburg frustrated at home, and getting a much-needed result of their own.

    Augsburg really made the situation much nicer last weekend for the clubs that are behind them, with Hoffenheim and Frankfurt each winning to pull within 2 and 4 points of that last Europa League qualifying spot that comes with 6th place in the table. Freiburg has now been held scoreless in three straight outings, and looks like a club who deserves to be where they are in the table, which right now seems to be headed to second tier.

    Even though that -135 is right on the edge of our comfort zone when it comes to juice, that is at least reasonable to take this Draw no Bet option on Augsburg to, at worst, find a result of some type here.

    Hoffenheim vs Paderborn

    3-Way: 1: Hoffenheim +100 Away ; X: +275 Draw ; 2: Paderborn +265 Home

    Spread: Hoffenheim -0.5 +100 ; Paderborn +0.5 -120

    Total 3: Over +110 ; Under -130

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Paderborn is the only club in the league that has lost four straight matches, and Hoffenheim is doing all they can to stay in the race for Europe.

    Paderborn is giving up exactly two goals per game, with 50 GA through 25 fixtures, and that does not bode well to fix its own relegation concern, where each loss puts them in deeper desperation to stay in the league.

    We are not the biggest fans of taking away teams at +100, since even money is not the best offer when you need an away team to win, but in this case, Hoffenheim and the 3-Way line will have to do.

    Frankfurt vs Stuttgart

    3-Way: 1: Frankfurt +195 Away ; X: +260 Draw ; 2: Stuttgart +135 Home

    Spread: Frankfurt Pk +115 ; Stuttgart Pk -135

    Total 3: Over +115 ; Under -135

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Let's keep this one simple, because there is no need to overanalyze this one: Frankfurt 5 - Stuttgart 4. How is that for a score call? Please, my goodness, these two are going to score on each other early, often, and maybe even againon Sundayafter the match.

    Thus, the Over 3 is obviously where we are going here, and +115 is delicious enough for us.

    Leverkusen vs Schalke

    3-Way: 1: Leverkusen +120 Away ; X: +250 Draw ; 2: Schalke +230 Home

    Spread: Leverkusen -0.5 +120 ; Schalke +0.5 -140

    Total 2.5: Over -110 ; Under -110

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    These two can now concentrate on the domestic campaign, since they both have been eliminated from Champions League.

    Leverkusen is still alive in the German Cup, but having Bayern Munich on deck to deal with there doesn't exactly seem promising either. Leverkusen obviously just played 120 minutes this week, with their Atletico Madrid tie that ended in penalty kicks. Tired legs, and traveling back to Germany from Spain, certainly won't make it easier, but luckily for them Schalke is letting every one they play score on them lately.

    If the line setters want to make us decide on the total with -110 on either side, than the Over 2.5 can surely make its way to our board. They might not come early, but in the end, 2 - 1 is easily obtainable here.

    Sunday, March 22- 2 Matches

    Featured Match Moenchengladbach vs Bayern Munich

    3-Way 1x2 Lines:

    Gladbach +1650

    Bayern -575

    Draw +660


    Gladbach +2 -105

    Bayern -2 -115

    Total 3:

    Over -135

    Under +115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Next up, Gladbach, and they now get to ride the carousel that is Bayern Munich.

    Bayern hasn't been slowed down by anyone in the world lately, and even though these two are the best two defensive clubs in the league, we do not expect to see much of a change from Bayern.

    There has not been a total high enough for us to play with Bayern, and we got a little lucky last weekend, cashing an Over 3.5 and seeing a 4 - 0 score.

    Wolfsburg vs Mainz

    3-Way: 1: Wolfsburg +115 Away ; X: +260 Draw ; 2: Mainz +230 Home

    Spread: Wolfsburg -0.5 +115 ; Mainz +0.5 -135

    Total 3: Over +105 ; Under -125

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Well, we predicted that Wolfsburg would score all three of those goals last weekend, and that was exactly what they did, winning 3 – 0 and cashing our side order of -1.5 on the handicap. We did see Mainz come up with a huge result last weekend, but can they back up that 2 - 0 win with a similar performance in back-to-back weeks is the question.

    We don't see it as a realistic outcome, and we will, once again, suggest a Wolfsburg total to go over the number. Over 3 at +105 is the play, and even if it is 2 - 1, no harm done.

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