Super Bowl XLVI will be a rematch of Super Bowl XLII that the Giants won 20-17 to end New England’s undefeated season. Super Bowl XLVI is set for Sunday, February 5th at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis with the start time approximately 6:25 pm Eastern on NBC television. It will be the first Super Bowl ever played at Indianapolis and it will be the second straight year the game will be in a stadium with a retractable roof. It is the fourth Super Bowl in history to be played in a cold weather city.
Favorites Struggling
Do you remember when favorites were a virtual lock in the Super Bowl? In the last 30 years the favorites have not been nearly as good. Since 1980, the favorites are just 20-11 straight up and a poor 13-16-2 against the spread. The underdog has covered the three of the last four Super Bowls, winning two of the three outright.
30 is a Key Number
The number 30 is a big one as in the last sixteen Super Bowls, if the favored team doesn’t score 30 points they are almost assuredly not going to cover the spread. In the last sixteen Super Bowls if the favored team didn’t score 30 points or more they were 2-14-1 against the spread. Another big number is 21 as if a team doesn’t get to at least 21 points in the Super Bowl they almost never win. Teams that haven’t scored at least 21 points are 1-20 straight up in the last 21 Super Bowls and a very poor 3-17-1 against the point spread.
More Trends
Looking at the total, five of the last seven Super Bowls have gone under the total. In the last 31 Super Bowls, the NFC is 20-11 straight up and 19-10-2 ATS. In the last 14 Super Bowls the NFC is just 5-9 SU and 7-6-1 ATS.
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