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Blazing No Trail on the Road
Portland was just a 30% play against the spread on the road but has potential for vastly better results going forward as they were a well balanced team that ranked 5th in the NBA for scoring and 10th for total defense. LaMarcus Aldridge has been sensational this year averaging 23 points per game while Marcus Camby was averaging just under 10 boards per outing.
Is the Lake Show Going Dark?
The Lakers have been barely above the .500 mark under first year coach Mike Brown, who had huge shoes to fill after the retirement of long time hall of fame coach Phil Jackson. The Lakers have looked soft and aging although Kobe Bryant has been great, putting in nearly 30 points per game. Bryant may need to enhance his leadership role with the Lakers if they are to make a solid run in the playoffs and have home court for at least one round.
Trends
Portland has proven to be an outstanding long term value against the Lakers with 15 payouts in their last 20 matchups against LA as 7 of the last 11 head to head meetings between these two teams have gone over the total. Portland has also done well at the Staples Center as they have gotten the money in 12 of their last 18 visits to Los Angeles against the Lakers with 6 of the last 7 meetings between the teams in LA going under the total.
NBA Pick
The Lakers have never been a good betting value at home because of their “name brand” status combined with the public preferring power home teams over potentially better valued teams that are road dogs. Portland makes for a formidable NBA betting selection in this one.
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